World Cup Market Belief

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Canada

A live view of what prediction markets believe about Canada’s chances at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Reports what markets are trading — it does not predict outcomes or offer betting advice.
As of 2026-07-17 18:20:08 UTC
The First Prediction-Market World Cup Observation11 June – 19 July 2026 Recorddaily canonical marks, frozen 00:00 UTC · archive series since 2026-06-04 CollectionVolRoc Observatory

Market belief — what the market is pricing

Implied championship probability per venue — Kalshi in gold, Polymarket in blue. Independent "yes" markets, shown side by side and never blended.
Kalshi
championship "yes" · implied probability
Polymarket
championship "yes" · implied probability

These are independent per-venue "yes" markets on the team winning the tournament; across all teams they sum to more than 100% (overround), so they are not a normalized probability distribution. A dash means that venue has no priced market for this team.

Movement — how this belief is changing

How the market’s implied championship probability for this team is repricing over time, per venue — never blended.

Trajectory builds from the daily 00:00 UTC marks: 24-hour change appears after the second mark, 7-day change after the eighth. No values are shown until that history exists.

Match records — this team’s fixtures

Every World Cup match Canada plays that VolRoc tracks as a prediction-market event — each links to its Event Record, where the cross-venue belief, capital, and daily marks for that match are kept. Listed by date; no figures are shown here.

Recent

Morocco Knockout2026-07-04
South Africa Knockout2026-06-28
Switzerland Group Stage2026-06-24
Qatar Group Stage2026-06-18
Bosnia & Herzegovina Group Stage2026-06-12

Each row links to that match’s Event Record. A match appears once its markets list and are bound; fixtures not yet listed are absent, not zero. All match records →

All World Cup teams

← World Cup market overview  ·  Top Scorer Markets →

Methodology & About

Markets are collected from the public Kalshi and Polymarket APIs. The figures here are observational: VolRoc reports what these venues are trading and takes no positions — it is not a sportsbook, broker, or betting operator, and nothing here is betting advice or a prediction. Implied probabilities are each venue’s championship "yes" price for this team; they are independent markets and sum to more than 100% (overround) across teams. Open interest (Kalshi, contracts) and 24-hour volume (Polymarket, USD) are reported per venue in native units and never summed. All values are approximate and timestamped to the latest captured hour.

“Canada — World Cup Prediction Markets, VolRoc.” https://volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/teams/canada/

About VolRoc

VolRoc is building an observability platform for prediction markets, options markets, and narratives. We track how expectations move, where conviction forms, and how markets coordinate around uncertainty. The Observatory is an early public view into that work.

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Top Scorer Observational market statistics. Not a sportsbook or broker.