Cumulative market-implied pricing of an OpenAI IPO announcement, across 12 dated thresholds on Kalshi.
as of 2026-06-23 00:00:00 UTC
Immutable dated record — the ladder as it stood on 2026-06-23. Citable; see provenance below.
Market-implied median
More likely than not by Before Dec 1, 2026 (56.0% cumulative).
The first listed threshold whose cumulative probability crosses 50%. Derived from the prices below; not interpolated.
Price ladder — cumulative by date
Observable prediction capital
Capital is shown per threshold above (opc_ladder_v1: floor of raw open interest, open interest contracts). No single total: a cumulative ladder’s nested thresholds overlap, so summing them would double-count committed capital. The total is therefore null by construction, not missing.
Cite this record
immutable · citable This is a dated record: a fixed, immutable snapshot of the ladder as it stood on 2026-06-23. It will not change.
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