belief as of 2026-07-01
Market focus
Markets’ largest OpenAI situation by capital is IPO timing — 57.0% cumulative for Before Apr 1, 2027.
Kalshi · 400.0K contracts Polymarket · no leg
2 active situations · view all →
Active situations — what the market is pricing
Historical archive — dated, immutable
Each situation freezes a daily record from onboarding; the entity index is the union. Open a forecast for its full archive.
Company pages are projections. Propositions are the archive atoms. Bindings are the moat.
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