World CupEvent RecordsNorway vs France

Norway vs France

Group Stage · Fri 26 Jun 2026 · Preview
A dated record of what prediction markets believed about this match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Reports what markets traded — not a prediction or betting advice.

Current market belief · what the market is pricing

Each outcome’s independent “yes” price on Kalshi · as of . Raw venue facts, shown as priced.
"yes" implied probability
Draw
"yes" implied probability
"yes" implied probability

Independent per-outcome "yes" prices; they may sum to more than 100% (overround) and are not a normalized distribution. A dash means no priced market for that outcome, not zero. Not a forecast.

Capital on each outcome

Open interest and volume per outcome, in Kalshi-native units (contracts). Never summed across outcomes.
OutcomeOpen interestVolume (total)24h volume
Norway
Draw
France

Contracts are Kalshi-native; a dash is an absent market, a 0 is a real zero. Capital is never combined across outcomes or venues.

Daily mark history · the record

Each row is one immutable daily mark, frozen 00:00 UTC. The series grows by one row per day.
DateNorwayDrawFrance
2026-06-2023%25%55%
2026-06-2122%25%56%
2026-06-2222%25%54%
2026-06-2322%24%56%
2026-06-2419%22%61%
2026-06-2521%22%59%
2026-06-2619%22%63%
2026-06-27
2026-06-28
2026-06-29
2026-06-30
2026-07-01
2026-07-02
2026-07-06
2026-07-07
2026-07-08
2026-07-09
2026-07-10
2026-07-11
2026-07-12
2026-07-13
2026-07-14
Norway
Draw
France

Values are each outcome’s Kalshi "yes" price on that date’s mark. Append-only; past marks are never restated.

Record provenance

Event ID
ev:wc2026:gs:fra-nor:2026-06-26
Data status
Preview
Registry
wc_events_v1
Registry hash
sha256:c2122356a7e69df8…
Leg structure
Partition
First mark
2026-06-20
Last mark
2026-07-14
Mark count
22

About this record

Observational
This record reports what markets traded. It does not predict outcomes or offer betting advice.
Venue
Kalshi only
Units
Open interest & volume in contracts (Kalshi-native)
Markets included
Moneyline (1X2): Norway, Draw, France

Methodology & about

Markets are collected from the public Kalshi API and bound to a canonical event identity contemporaneously, before kickoff. Figures are observational: VolRoc reports what the venue is trading and takes no positions — not a sportsbook, broker, or betting operator. Prices are raw “yes” prices per outcome (overround preserved, never normalized); capital is Kalshi-native and never summed. Each daily mark is immutable and frozen at 00:00 UTC.

“Norway vs France — World Cup Event Record, VolRoc.” https://volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/events/fra-nor-2026-06-26/

About VolRocMethodologyAPIArchiveWorld CupEvent RecordsObservational market statistics. Not a sportsbook or broker.