World Cup › Event Records › Belgium vs Spain
Belgium vs Spain
Current market belief · what the market is pricing
Independent per-outcome "yes" prices; they may sum to more than 100% (overround) and are not a normalized distribution. A dash means no priced market for that outcome, not zero. Not a forecast.
Capital on each outcome
| Outcome | Open interest | Volume (total) | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | — | — | — |
| Draw | — | — | — |
| Spain | — | — | — |
Contracts are Kalshi-native; a dash is an absent market, a 0 is a real zero. Capital is never combined across outcomes or venues.
Daily mark history · the record
| Date | Belgium | Draw | Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 17% | 24% | 60% |
| 2026-07-09 | 17% | 25% | 60% |
| 2026-07-10 | 17% | 25% | 60% |
| 2026-07-11 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-12 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | — | — | — |
Values are each outcome’s Kalshi "yes" price on that date’s mark. Append-only; past marks are never restated.
Record provenance
- Event ID
- ev:wc2026:ko:bel-esp:2026-07-10
- Data status
- Preview
- Registry
- wc_events_v6
- Registry hash
- sha256:7e5fc94b303df2e2…
- Leg structure
- Partition
- First mark
- 2026-07-08
- Last mark
- 2026-07-14
- Mark count
- 7
About this record
Methodology & about
Markets are collected from the public Kalshi API and bound to a canonical event identity contemporaneously, before kickoff. Figures are observational: VolRoc reports what the venue is trading and takes no positions — not a sportsbook, broker, or betting operator. Prices are raw “yes” prices per outcome (overround preserved, never normalized); capital is Kalshi-native and never summed. Each daily mark is immutable and frozen at 00:00 UTC.
“Belgium vs Spain — World Cup Event Record, VolRoc.” https://volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/events/bel-esp-2026-07-10/