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the reference layer for prediction markets
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01 Registry

Canonical propositions

Every proposition has one opaque, permanent canonical identifier. Browse them below, or filter by canonical id, venue-native id, or name. Identifiers contain verbatim colons and are never rewritten.

Filtering is an enhancement. With JavaScript off, the full registry below is browsable and every link works. A machine-readable index is at /reference/v1/search-index.json.

Canonical idPropositionVenuesDivergence
prop:ipo:anthropic:date26aug01Anthropic IPO Timing — organization referentkalshi
prop:wc2026:golden_boot:nationFIFA World Cup 2026 Golden Boot — nation referentpolymarket REFERENT, TIE_RULE
prop:wc2026:golden_boot:playerFIFA World Cup 2026 Golden Boot — player referentkalshi REFERENT, TIE_RULE
02 Editions

Sealed reference editions

The Edition record page is live. The sealed package is not publicly downloadable; distribution is metadata_only. The machine editions index is at /reference/v1/editions/.

03 Entities

Canonical entities

Entity browse populates from the sealed entities_v1 registry once it is projected onto this surface. A dash is the absence of measurement, never a zero — no illustrative entity pages are published, so there are no dead links.
04 Identity classes

How identity is typed

Binding kinds (M2)

EQUIVALENCE
Same referent, same outcome space — one canonical proposition bound across venues.
RELATED
Same event fact but non-substitutable (e.g. a different referent); linked, never merged.

Divergence classes (M2)

TIE_RULE
Same core, but a winner-affecting tie-tail differs (e.g. assists→minutes vs penalties→alphabetical).
REFERENT
The object class or scope differs; disqualifies equivalence.
TIMING
Determination timing differs between venues.
SOURCE
The resolution source differs between venues.

Settlement vocabulary (B4)

OPEN
canonical settlement value
PENDING
canonical settlement value
RESOLVED_YES
canonical settlement value
RESOLVED_NO
canonical settlement value
VOID
canonical settlement value
05 Divergence examples

Where venues that look identical differ

The permanent evidence surface: two venues that look like the same market, recorded as differing before the outcome was known. Divergence is a property of the relation between two propositions, never of a single binding.

Honest flags
Identity, not settlement

This registry lists canonical identity and cross-venue bindings for the sealed Edition. It asserts no current market state and no settlement.

Search is additive; navigation is not

The filter needs JavaScript; browsing does not. With JS off the full table is present and every canonical-record link works. The static search index is machine-readable at /reference/v1/search-index.json.

VolRoc Reference — an independent reference layer for prediction markets. Identifiers and verification are permanently free. Methodology · Governance · Errata · Verify
registry · 3 proposition(s) · provenance sealed