FIFA World Cup 2026 Golden Boot — nation referent
What each venue's market says
Criteria shown by hash (Q2 redistribution mode). Each hash is the verifiable anchor of the exact criteria text captured at its vintage.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
Criteria text is served under the commercial tier where venue redistribution terms require it; the criteria hash below is the public, verifiable anchor.
How the venues bind
A binding asserts identity of the question, never the answer. Each row records the binding kind adjudicated for that venue market against this canonical proposition. Divergence is not a property of a binding — it is a property of a proposition pair, and is recorded in section 05.
| Venue | Venue-native id | Binding kind |
|---|---|---|
| polymarket | 0x13769b3c9e8daf0052d90385dcebb80bf28a570a8193bd5576ac73aa82909111 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x3c58e8986995e05c30e64d03acebcb53c9e78643ece47ff2d3dbb1f3c2c7fd2d | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x412b0b69c2ebff68001118b6a72e85994d47fd5a237c75536b3c11f8f70389ca | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x4a6fd3438ea67c71c56d1fb2613b83d617e0ae5c6496550c0a90cbf780297728 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x4c611e1630deb215b73ddaf5f75416bd30f5a6e7e47d3df3ceb07d340ed8ffff | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x624517215cc5c73eec1ff74db2ef92bf798fac6b61cd00d11a05418520290f69 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x628b31594cadce2e57764e779fd7ecaf8fc754ddf971064b505e3eabdde71e11 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x66135710406fb193043ec2b40faf6c48e4b3327552b366c4f67e6d4d8d35c7b0 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x6bd38225e20be4f4953e027150092ed70c09288cd978f079fd2ff411b8b5183e | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x7fe6ad9149fc7092f5ee6fc6290b852293706dcbb42963299a188a688603653e | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x8a743d2c48a6ffc5763e2209d4cf1053ccbae1a6eb80cc33bd702a3fe4b10156 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x919c3aa6286d165c579ccaa3c17ffafd47d851d692f47d46192c3a71c85e22c3 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0x96b3985a648e790f3a6bcdf544f92fe490c29944f06711a2fae35cfb3760e5a3 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xa7bcd5ac728b7f8afe40fc3e08b65c799d661122243b861110297765084d8731 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xabe572cb5aa6814e99f71822fb0b5aea9f02d89c4ab74b16c0e636a24adf692f | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xb258d0370d1d409b3fe03ba0d6e0ae88a55b0a179edf8b4a6b0e386542ca0b9c | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xb4431b4a10c926381c72d581ba9bec629f430feea5e72fbaff3a9e2ac87a3001 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xb7b8304ad637aba0995ba75b3230086d86f9fcb7a6b5f3ae96a75e73eacfd309 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xb9caf777115e4f38eb4e2de7fab3e88052b92a78f161f91db232be31a93d1e3e | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xbfabd0d5b1aadbc22c9b115d0471591b2f512003a3fba918eb132d425a983a18 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xc670e80dbb80ba2d33afcfa51d8ec385a3ffaadebdcaf8187e6eb5d14f2289bb | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xd201108be9753b5ee8b6069ce9f9287d2931a5174bb4ef6c2daccbe3f005826b | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xd2828d51d403c9317a50226752257eb5f4e9f85bb49ad6a191e5fba6eceb781c | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xd2a8caba5559bc21e14f6b2aa504cb14a1782751658b71409e25b82e432c0a97 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xeefef4320deec275a7191ad901469eec59544dc1fd53fed93f6d3b97c33787a5 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xf47125a3640583900868a2e1f102d2c093c8a1512fb379709446d9cad73578d8 | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xfa021d817ad33e0fa28e04051b4fea25b0a090e94bb1b2a38b377bce9778eb8e | EQUIVALENCE |
| polymarket | 0xff8763ee77aec9cc4223cd429c726d35877ddcc47da679d6428510a929286ad1 | EQUIVALENCE |
Identity, authority, and pinned vocabulary
Provenance
- status
- bound
- settlement_disposition
- not_asserted_in_identity_edition
- resolution_authority
- FIFA official tournament leader (per criteria in force)
- outcome_space
- {'exhaustive_claimed': False, 'kind': 'binary_leg_partition', 'leg_count': 28}
- criteria_snapshot_hash
- sha256:290f2c9ddbb98ffa7cba4828d422c9486cde4972dda28ea5f1eb4b86f9d998fc
- settlement_vocabulary_hash
- sha256:bc327eb6fd5d2d2e659e146e03848fdb6f1988d9ee6b2b117ec45897e78a4c76
- entity_registry_hash
- sha256:e8d1880f6473923707e1d14645060d4d00880ed3b947462ce11a3a4ab375cde8
- source_edition
- reference-v1.2026.08
- source_registry_hash
- sha256:fe5d6f2f4704d130180e800e7b76f6121983e30dd9cd85356fea4fbb6959b199
Dated record events
No dated records yet. A dash is the absence of measurement, never a zero.
Neighbouring records and measured divergence
Divergence is recorded here, on the relation between two propositions, because that is where it was measured. Two propositions that describe the same event fact but are not substitutable are linked and never merged.
Relation
- relation_kind
- RELATED
- related_proposition
- prop:wc2026:golden_boot:player
- relation_id
- rel:wc2026:golden_boot:player_vs_nation
- divergence_class
- REFERENT TIE_RULE
- equivalence_disqualified_by
- REFERENT
- substitutable
- no
- confidence
- CONFIRMED
| Class | Basis | Left | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| REFERENT | referent_unit differs at the sealed criteria snapshot | referent_unit=player venue=kalshi | referent_unit=nation venue=polymarket |
| TIE_RULE | tie-break fallback chains differ in the criteria in force | criteria_fields=rules_secondary venue=kalshi | criteria_fields=description venue=polymarket |
Hash-pinned substrate
| Object | Registry hash | Role |
|---|---|---|
| criteria snapshot | sha256:290f2c9ddbb98ffa7cba4828d422c9486cde4972dda28ea5f1eb4b86f9d998fc | criteria in force at bind |
| resolution_vocabulary_v1 | sha256:bc327eb6fd5d2d2e659e146e03848fdb6f1988d9ee6b2b117ec45897e78a4c76 | settlement vocabulary |
| entities_v1 | sha256:e8d1880f6473923707e1d14645060d4d00880ed3b947462ce11a3a4ab375cde8 | entity registry |
| proposition_bindings_v1 | sha256:fe5d6f2f4704d130180e800e7b76f6121983e30dd9cd85356fea4fbb6959b199 | source binding registry |
How to cite this record
DOI: pending — minted on deposit.
Cite the Edition hash: a content-addressed citation can never silently resolve to different content.
This record carries identity, criteria (by hash), bindings, and settlement disposition only. Prices, marks, forecasts, and banned vocabulary (odds / picks / tips) are forbidden here.
This record asserts canonical identity and cross-venue binding only. status is an Edition-scoped publication state: a venue market was adjudicated as referring to this canonical proposition in the sealed corpus of reference-v1.2026.08. It does not imply current market state, settlement, rule equivalence, future editions, or any inferred relationship.
This record carries settlement_disposition: not_asserted_in_identity_edition. Settlement is a separate projection and is not present in this Edition. Two senses of “resolve” are kept apart here: resolving a venue-native identifier to this canonical proposition is fully answerable; resolving an outcome is not, and nothing on this page implies it is.
No binding on this record carries a divergence class, and none is shown. Divergence is materialised on the relation between two propositions and is published in section 05 exactly where it was measured.
Criteria text is shown only where venue redistribution terms permit; otherwise the criteria hash is the public anchor. This record renders in hash mode.