Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-10-13

Prediction Markets — 2026-10-13

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-10-13T00:05:03.625541+00:00

State of the System

On October 13, 2026, VolRoc recorded 287,624 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $934.8M in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets fell 4.6% and open interest rose 13.3% (vs October 12, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (29%), ahead of Sports (10%); together they accounted for 39% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 91% of active markets and Polymarket 9%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-10-13

As of 2026-10-13 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
287,624
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$934.8M
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
10,052
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
91% / 9%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
258,131
Sports
11,420
Other
9,042
Politics & Elections
5,189
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,182
Technology & AI
754
World & Geopolitics
666
Entertainment & Culture
346
Companies & Business
310
Economics & Inflation
250
Climate & Weather
158
Monetary Policy
128
Science & Health
48

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 91%
Polymarket 9%
Kalshi 262,388 markets · $524.6M OI  ·  Polymarket 25,236 markets · $410.2M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 287,624.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
247,884
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0
10,247
Ncaafspread
231
Ncaaftotal
150
Btcd
115
Mlbhrr
100
Nflrec
95
Nflspread
78
Mlbhit
77
Nbaspread
68
Nhlgoal
66
Rain
66

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for October 13, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — October 13, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-10-13/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.