Anthropic IPO Timing — 2026-06-30

Cumulative market-implied pricing of Anthropic IPO Timing, across 10 dated thresholds on Kalshi.

as of 2026-06-30 00:00:00 UTC

kalshiopen interest contractsleg: Ladderopc_ladder_v1

Immutable dated record — the ladder as it stood on 2026-06-30. Citable; see provenance below.

Market-implied median

More likely than not by Before Dec 1, 2026 (65.0% cumulative).

The first listed threshold whose cumulative probability crosses 50%. Derived from the prices below; not interpolated.

Price ladder — cumulative by date

ThresholdCumulative market-implied priceImpliedOPC (contracts)
Before Jul 1, 2026
1.0%
172.7K
Before Aug 1, 2026
2.0%
84.4K
Before Sep 1, 2026
11.0%
51.0K
Before Oct 1, 2026
47.0%
32.8K
Before Dec 1, 2026
65.0%
2.7K
Before Nov 1, 2026
66.0%
7.7K
Before Jan 1, 2027
76.0%
5.0K
Before Apr 1, 2027
79.0%
2.0K
Before Feb 1, 2027
82.0%
1.5K
Before Mar 1, 2027
84.0%
1.3K

Observable prediction capital

Capital is shown per threshold above (opc_ladder_v1: floor of raw open interest, open interest contracts). No single total: a cumulative ladder’s nested thresholds overlap, so summing them would double-count committed capital. The total is therefore null by construction, not missing.

Cite this record

immutable · citable This is a dated record: a fixed, immutable snapshot of the ladder as it stood on 2026-06-30. It will not change.

Download JSON
Canonical date2026-06-30
As of2026-06-30 00:00:00 UTC
Methodologyopc_ladder_v1
SHA-256f0a8c29c9e7ffa3115ec08d9e806061a9c902e2975422f2732e9e560ed9aa198

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