World CupEvent RecordsIraq vs Senegal

Iraq vs Senegal

Group Stage · Fri 26 Jun 2026 · Preview
A dated record of what prediction markets believed about this match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Reports what markets traded — not a prediction or betting advice.

Current market belief · what the market is pricing

Each outcome’s independent “yes” price on Kalshi · as of . Raw venue facts, shown as priced.
"yes" implied probability
Draw
"yes" implied probability
"yes" implied probability

Independent per-outcome "yes" prices; they may sum to more than 100% (overround) and are not a normalized distribution. A dash means no priced market for that outcome, not zero. Not a forecast.

Capital on each outcome

Open interest and volume per outcome, in Kalshi-native units (contracts). Never summed across outcomes.
OutcomeOpen interestVolume (total)24h volume
Iraq
Draw
Senegal

Contracts are Kalshi-native; a dash is an absent market, a 0 is a real zero. Capital is never combined across outcomes or venues.

Daily mark history · the record

Each row is one immutable daily mark, frozen 00:00 UTC. The series grows by one row per day.
DateIraqDrawSenegal
2026-06-2010%18%75%
2026-06-219%18%76%
2026-06-228%17%76%
2026-06-238%17%77%
2026-06-247%14%78%
2026-06-258%14%79%
2026-06-268%14%79%
2026-06-27
2026-06-28
2026-06-29
2026-06-30
2026-07-01
2026-07-02
2026-07-06
2026-07-07
2026-07-08
2026-07-09
2026-07-10
2026-07-11
2026-07-12
2026-07-13
2026-07-14
Iraq
Draw
Senegal

Values are each outcome’s Kalshi "yes" price on that date’s mark. Append-only; past marks are never restated.

Record provenance

Event ID
ev:wc2026:gs:irq-sen:2026-06-26
Data status
Preview
Registry
wc_events_v1
Registry hash
sha256:c2122356a7e69df8…
Leg structure
Partition
First mark
2026-06-20
Last mark
2026-07-14
Mark count
22

About this record

Observational
This record reports what markets traded. It does not predict outcomes or offer betting advice.
Venue
Kalshi only
Units
Open interest & volume in contracts (Kalshi-native)
Markets included
Moneyline (1X2): Iraq, Draw, Senegal

Methodology & about

Markets are collected from the public Kalshi API and bound to a canonical event identity contemporaneously, before kickoff. Figures are observational: VolRoc reports what the venue is trading and takes no positions — not a sportsbook, broker, or betting operator. Prices are raw “yes” prices per outcome (overround preserved, never normalized); capital is Kalshi-native and never summed. Each daily mark is immutable and frozen at 00:00 UTC.

“Iraq vs Senegal — World Cup Event Record, VolRoc.” https://volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/events/irq-sen-2026-06-26/

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