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Argentina vs England

Knockout · Wed 15 Jul 2026 · Preview
A dated record of what prediction markets believed about this match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Reports what markets traded — not a prediction or betting advice.

Current market belief · what the market is pricing

Each outcome’s independent “yes” price on Kalshi · as of 2026-07-14 00:30:05.630699+00. Raw venue facts, shown as priced.
Argentina
32%
"yes" implied probability
Draw
33%
"yes" implied probability
England
37%
"yes" implied probability

Independent per-outcome "yes" prices; they may sum to more than 100% (overround) and are not a normalized distribution. A dash means no priced market for that outcome, not zero. Not a forecast.

Capital on each outcome

Open interest and volume per outcome, in Kalshi-native units (contracts). Never summed across outcomes.
OutcomeOpen interestVolume (total)24h volume
Argentina65,46467,41031,617
Draw49,44851,72921,557
England69,79571,82134,410

Contracts are Kalshi-native; a dash is an absent market, a 0 is a real zero. Capital is never combined across outcomes or venues.

Daily mark history · the record

Each row is one immutable daily mark, frozen 00:00 UTC. The series grows by one row per day.
DateArgentinaDrawEngland
2026-07-1331%33%37%
2026-07-1432%33%37%

Trajectory renders once at least three daily marks have accumulated.

Values are each outcome’s Kalshi "yes" price on that date’s mark. Append-only; past marks are never restated.

Record provenance

Event ID
ev:wc2026:ko:arg-eng:2026-07-15
Data status
Preview
Registry
wc_events_v8
Registry hash
sha256:a214ebde9c3375c3…
Leg structure
Partition
First mark
2026-07-13
Last mark
2026-07-14
Mark count
2

About this record

Observational
This record reports what markets traded. It does not predict outcomes or offer betting advice.
Venue
Kalshi only
Units
Open interest & volume in contracts (Kalshi-native)
Markets included
Moneyline (1X2): Argentina, Draw, England

Methodology & about

Markets are collected from the public Kalshi API and bound to a canonical event identity contemporaneously, before kickoff. Figures are observational: VolRoc reports what the venue is trading and takes no positions — not a sportsbook, broker, or betting operator. Prices are raw “yes” prices per outcome (overround preserved, never normalized); capital is Kalshi-native and never summed. Each daily mark is immutable and frozen at 00:00 UTC.

“Argentina vs England — World Cup Event Record, VolRoc.” https://volroc.ai/world-cup-prediction-markets/events/arg-eng-2026-07-15/

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