VolRocObservatory

World Cup — Daily Record

Frozen daily record · July 20, 2026 · snapshot as of 2026-07-20 00:50:09 UTC · immutable · binding: informal (slug)

Biggest movers — 24h, per venue

▲ Risers

No risers above the threshold in this record.

▼ Fallers

No fallers above the threshold in this record.

Change since the prior daily snapshot, in percentage points, per venue — never blended. A dash means the venue did not price the team. Not a forecast.

Cross-venue divergence — where the venues disagreed

No team is priced on both venues for this record.

Both venue prices shown, never averaged. Largest absolute gaps first.

Market consensus — what the market believes

Implied championship probability by venue — Kalshi gold, Polymarket blue, never blended. The 24h column is each team's largest single-venue move vs the prior daily mark, tagged ᴷ/ᴾ.

TeamKalshiPolymarket24h

This page is a frozen daily projection of the World Cup consensus record. The machine-readable record: /api/public/world-cup/archive/2026-07-20 · indexed at /api/public/world-cup/archive.