VOLROC REFERENCEedition reference-v1.2026.07sha256 sha256:5e258b2817b9dbf68bcb1b40399acaab50e64bb9f90de2038222ba00c4e1a7c1vintage 2026-07-08T23:00:00Z
VOLROC
the reference layer for prediction markets
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reference-v1.2026.07Sealed

Reference Edition 2026.07

Edition
reference-v1.2026.07
Manifest sha256
sha256:5e258b2817b9dbf68bcb1b40399acaab50e64bb9f90de2038222ba00c4e1a7c1
Vintage (as of)
2026-07-08T23:00:00Z
Schema
v1
DownloadVerify
02 Verification

Verify this Edition

This Edition authenticates itself with coreutils — no VolRoc code, no trust in the delivery channel. The acceptance standard is two independent reviewers, identical inputs, byte-identical manifest and hash.

# 1 — authenticate the whole package (no VolRoc code)
$ curl -O https://volroc.ai/reference/editions/reference-v1.2026.07/SHA256SUMS
$ sha256sum -c SHA256SUMS
  MANIFEST.json: OK

# 2 — match the manifest hash to the published hash
$ sha256sum MANIFEST.json
  sha256:5e258b2817b9dbf68bcb1b40399acaab50e64bb9f90de2038222ba00c4e1a7c1  MANIFEST.json

Full walkthrough and independent-validation guidance: /reference/verify/.

03 Manifest

What is inside the hash

Manifest

projection_code_version
reference_edition_manifest_v1
canonical_encoding
{'allow_nan': False, 'array_order': 'producer-declared total order; the encoder does not reorder arrays', 'digest': 'sha256', 'digest_reference_form': 'sha256:<64 lowercase hex>', 'encoding_id': 'volroc-canonical-encoding-v1', 'ensure_ascii': False, 'float_values': 'prohibited', 'item_separator': ',', 'key_separator': ':', 'object_key_order': 'codepoint ascending, applied recursively', 'presence_semantics': 'absent != empty; absent keys are omitted, never null-filled', 'serialization': 'json', 'sort_keys': True, 'text_encoding': 'utf-8', 'unicode_normalization': 'none'}
coverage
52 criteria records (kalshi 24, polymarket 28); bound at 2026-07-08T23:00:00Z; venues: kalshi, polymarket

Known gaps

  • criteria_cross_venue_capture_skew (criteria_gap) — The two venues were captured at distinct instants within one hour: Kalshi at 2026-07-08 03:00:05.404686+00:00 (24 records) and Polymarket at 2026-07-08T03:15:03+00:00 (28 records), a 15-minute cross-venue capture skew. Each venue's native snapshot_at_utc format is preserved verbatim and never blended (OC-5). No single capture instant is asserted for the Edition.
  • criteria_version_chain_absent (criteria_gap) — wc_scorer_criteria_2026-07-08 is a sealed single-hour criteria capture, not a B2 version chain. snapshot_hash, criteria_version, effective_from and effective_to are absent from all 52 records (measured 0/52). Ruling A4: the Edition pins the sealed criteria artifact by content_hash and declares the absent version chain rather than fabricating it. B2-BUILD does not block this Edition.
  • outcome_space_not_exhaustive:prop:wc2026:golden_boot:nation (binding_gap) — exhaustive_claimed is false in the sealed binding edition. The 28 bound legs are not asserted to exhaust the outcome space.
  • outcome_space_not_exhaustive:prop:wc2026:golden_boot:player (binding_gap) — exhaustive_claimed is false in the sealed binding edition. The 24 bound legs are not asserted to exhaust the outcome space.
  • resolution_authority_ambiguity_recorded_not_adjudicated (criteria_gap) — Where the two venues' criteria texts defer to FIFA as the resolution authority, the divergence between them is recorded as observed and is not adjudicated by this Edition. No settlement state is asserted anywhere in this Edition.
04 Dependencies

Hash-pinned substrate

An Edition adds no new truth. It pins the immutable objects it projects; each is regenerable and independently hashable.

ObjectRegistry hashRole
entities_v1sha256:e8d1880f6473923707e1d14645060d4d00880ed3b947462ce11a3a4ab375cde8identity_registry
proposition_bindings_v1sha256:79788ef5902be5690888d06dfd0a4e0f50fffc896ca0a809e7b73724f14d3a09binding_ledger
resolution_vocabulary_v1sha256:bc327eb6fd5d2d2e659e146e03848fdb6f1988d9ee6b2b117ec45897e78a4c76settlement_vocabulary
wc_scorer_criteria_2026-07-08sha256:290f2c9ddbb98ffa7cba4828d422c9486cde4972dda28ea5f1eb4b86f9d998fccriteria_snapshot
05 Errata

Corrections on the record

E1-ERR-001
2026-07-08

[TIE_RULE] World Cup top-scorer tiebreaker mechanism, Kalshi vs Polymarket — Measured settlement-criteria text shows both venues share a most-goals base and defer to FIFA's official determination, but their fallback tie chains are different instruments. Kalshi (rules_secondary) adopts FIFA Golden Boot tiebreakers: most assists, then fewest minutes played. Polymarket (description) resolves by fewer penalty-kick goals, then alphabetical last name. The divergence class TIE_RULE stands; only the mechanism is corrected. (Earlier framing retired, not silently revised. The correction reinforces the proposition-identity finding: market titles cannot adjudicate settlement.)

E1-ERR-002
2026-07-08

[CAPTURE_STATE] Polymarket capture state for the World Cup top-scorer criteria — Retired by measurement. The Polymarket criteria in this edition are drawn from snapshot polymarket_snapshot_20260708T031503Z, captured 2026-07-08 03:15:03 UTC: current, not degraded, with 28 top-scorer markets present. Polymarket capture recovered 2026-07-07. (The degraded-window assumption is retired for this edition's criteria. A documented 19-day Polymarket price-capture degradation (2026-06-18 ~02:00Z through 2026-07-07) exists in the underlying bronze price record; it does not affect the settlement criteria captured 2026-07-08, and this edition ships no prices. The absence of measurement was not evidence of absence.)

07 Lineage

Related editions

This Edition opens the append-only lineage (supersedes: null). A correction is a new dated Edition or an appended erratum, never an in-place edit.

No related records.

This page carries identity and integrity only. Prices, marks, tape, analytics, and any mutable “latest” pointer are forbidden here (R1 D2).

Honest flags
Identity independently reproducible

Every hash on this page derives from the sealed manifest; the Edition identity is the sha256 of the manifest bytes and reproduces under an independent witness (I0-3 dual-witness, A==B).

Declared gaps are on the record

This Edition states its own limits in known_gaps_ledger rather than papering over them. Every entry is shown above.

Package not yet public

Download is gated until an explicit public-designation decision. Showing the hash is never gated; shipping the package is.

VolRoc Reference — an independent reference layer for prediction markets. Identifiers and verification are permanently free. Methodology · Governance · Errata · Verify
edition reference-v1.2026.07 · sha256 sha256:5e258b2817b9dbf68bcb1b40399acaab50e64bb9f90de2038222ba00c4e1a7c1 · vintage 2026-07-08T23:00:00Z