Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-09-27

Prediction Markets — 2026-09-27

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-09-27T00:05:04.135591+00:00

State of the System

On September 27, 2026, VolRoc recorded 455,488 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $2.37B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 22.8% and open interest rose 2.7% (vs September 26, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (25%), ahead of Sports (17%); together they accounted for 42% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 93% of active markets and Polymarket 7%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-09-27

As of 2026-09-27 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
455,488
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$2.37B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
27,921
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
93% / 7%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
377,558
Sports
29,365
Other
28,798
Politics & Elections
10,151
Entertainment & Culture
3,138
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,501
Technology & AI
1,344
Economics & Inflation
1,039
Companies & Business
886
World & Geopolitics
770
Monetary Policy
500
Climate & Weather
322
Science & Health
116

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 93%
Polymarket 7%
Kalshi 423,190 markets · $1.90B OI  ·  Polymarket 32,298 markets · $467.7M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 455,488.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
296,853
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0
80,705
Midterm control
1,562
Votegeneral
1,281
Ncaafspread
927
Ncaaftotal
674
U.S. House races
667
Music — artist streams
649
Nfltd
556
Nflrecyds
519
Ncaafwins
442
Nextteamnba
425

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for September 27, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — September 27, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-09-27/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.