Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-09-25

Prediction Markets — 2026-09-25

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-09-25T00:05:04.074746+00:00

State of the System

On September 25, 2026, VolRoc recorded 382,971 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $2.18B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 35.9% and open interest rose 8.3% (vs September 24, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (27%), ahead of Sports (18%); together they accounted for 45% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 92% of active markets and Polymarket 8%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-09-25

As of 2026-09-25 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
382,971
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$2.18B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
24,863
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
92% / 8%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
308,094
Other
28,408
Sports
26,639
Politics & Elections
10,109
Entertainment & Culture
3,124
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,619
Technology & AI
1,344
Economics & Inflation
1,046
Companies & Business
881
World & Geopolitics
775
Monetary Policy
491
Climate & Weather
325
Science & Health
116

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 92%
Polymarket 8%
Kalshi 350,463 markets · $1.71B OI  ·  Polymarket 32,508 markets · $467.9M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 382,971.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
258,674
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0
49,420
Midterm control
1,543
Votegeneral
1,256
Ncaafspread
779
U.S. House races
656
Music — artist streams
654
Ncaaftotal
495
Ncaafwins
437
Nextteamnba
425
Nflwins
407
Midtermvoteturn
317

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for September 25, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — September 25, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-09-25/

Get the daily statistics

A short daily read on the prediction-market universe across Kalshi and Polymarket. Join the list →

About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.