Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-09-17

Prediction Markets — 2026-09-17

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-09-17T00:05:03.727090+00:00

State of the System

On September 17, 2026, VolRoc recorded 322,110 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $2.04B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 1.2% and open interest fell 3.5% (vs September 16, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (29%), ahead of Sports (19%); together they accounted for 47% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 86% of active markets and Polymarket 14%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-09-17

As of 2026-09-17 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
322,110
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$2.04B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
25,470
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
86% / 14%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
236,110
Sports
34,124
Other
31,844
Politics & Elections
10,506
Entertainment & Culture
3,082
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,639
Technology & AI
1,380
Economics & Inflation
939
World & Geopolitics
823
Companies & Business
803
Monetary Policy
460
Climate & Weather
285
Science & Health
115

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 86%
Polymarket 14%
Kalshi 276,498 markets · $1.55B OI  ·  Polymarket 45,612 markets · $485.9M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 322,110.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
199,770
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0
36,340
Midterm control
1,365
Votegeneral
1,170
Music — artist streams
696
U.S. House races
649
Ncaafspread
615
Ncaaftotal
449
Ncaafwins
433
Nextteamnba
424
Nflwins
399
Ncaafgame
314

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for September 17, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — September 17, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-09-17/

Get the daily statistics

A short daily read on the prediction-market universe across Kalshi and Polymarket. Join the list →

About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.