Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-09-03

Prediction Markets — 2026-09-03

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-09-03T00:05:03.055523+00:00

State of the System

On September 3, 2026, VolRoc recorded 259,850 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.93B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets fell 6.8% and open interest rose 1.3% (vs September 2, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (30%), ahead of Sports (21%); together they accounted for 51% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 77% of active markets and Polymarket 23%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-09-03

As of 2026-09-03 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
259,850
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.93B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
26,839
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
77% / 23%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
150,624
Other
46,613
Sports
40,883
Politics & Elections
10,744
Entertainment & Culture
3,007
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,875
Technology & AI
1,356
Climate & Weather
1,295
Economics & Inflation
1,006
Companies & Business
949
World & Geopolitics
847
Monetary Policy
540
Science & Health
111

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 77%
Polymarket 23%
Kalshi 199,086 markets · $1.33B OI  ·  Polymarket 60,764 markets · $606.4M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 259,850.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
150,624
11,791
Midterm control
1,233
Ncaafspread
887
Music — artist streams
734
U.S. House races
636
Ncaaftotal
523
Nextteamnba
513
Ncaafwins
380
Nflwins
375
Ncaafgame
367
Nflspread
325

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for September 3, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — September 3, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-09-03/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.