Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-08-26

Prediction Markets — 2026-08-26

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-08-26T00:05:03.555954+00:00

State of the System

On August 26, 2026, VolRoc recorded 234,142 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.77B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 24.0% and open interest rose 5.2% (vs August 25, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (30%), ahead of Sports (21%); together they accounted for 51% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 75% of active markets and Polymarket 25%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-08-26

As of 2026-08-26 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
234,142
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.77B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
24,904
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
75% / 25%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
139,807
Other
36,810
Sports
35,507
Politics & Elections
10,394
Entertainment & Culture
2,944
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,938
Technology & AI
1,761
Climate & Weather
1,386
Companies & Business
1,042
Economics & Inflation
1,011
World & Geopolitics
899
Monetary Policy
517
Science & Health
126

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 75%
Polymarket 25%
Kalshi 176,558 markets · $1.20B OI  ·  Polymarket 57,584 markets · $568.5M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 234,142.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
139,807
2,779
Midterm control
1,185
Music — artist streams
764
U.S. House races
614
Nextteamnba
508
Nflspread
366
Nflwins
357
Primary vote shares
350
Ncaafwins
310
Mlbhrr
297
Mlbhr
281

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for August 26, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — August 26, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-08-26/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.