Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-08-22

Prediction Markets — 2026-08-22

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-08-22T00:05:03.676133+00:00

State of the System

On August 22, 2026, VolRoc recorded 248,103 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.86B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 37.3% and open interest rose 13.0% (vs August 21, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (31%), ahead of Sports (23%); together they accounted for 54% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 78% of active markets and Polymarket 22%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-08-22

As of 2026-08-22 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
248,103
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.86B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
25,077
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
78% / 22%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Mixed / Multi-category
154,418
Sports
36,204
Other
36,077
Politics & Elections
10,145
Entertainment & Culture
3,015
Crypto & Digital Assets
2,001
Technology & AI
1,733
Climate & Weather
1,173
Economics & Inflation
983
Companies & Business
892
World & Geopolitics
875
Monetary Policy
479
Science & Health
108

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 78%
Polymarket 22%
Kalshi 193,658 markets · $1.19B OI  ·  Polymarket 54,445 markets · $667.8M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 248,103.

Largest Kalshi Series

Cross-category multi-markets
154,418
3,868
Sports — multi-game parlays
1,698
Midterm control
1,138
Music — artist streams
767
U.S. House races
612
Nextteamnba
508
Nflspread
426
Primary vote shares
355
Nflwins
352
Nfltotal
290
Ncaafwins
285

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for August 22, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — August 22, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-08-22/

Get the daily statistics

A short daily read on the prediction-market universe across Kalshi and Polymarket. Join the list →

About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.