Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-07-31

Prediction Markets — 2026-07-31

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-07-31T00:05:04.095487+00:00

State of the System

On July 31, 2026, VolRoc recorded 148,408 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.46B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets rose 3.7% and open interest rose 8.2% (vs July 30, 2026). Sports was the largest domain by open interest (41%), ahead of Politics & Elections (33%); together they accounted for 75% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 80% of active markets and Polymarket 20%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-07-31

As of 2026-07-31 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
148,408
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.46B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
17,582
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
80% / 20%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Sports
94,719
Other
23,055
Mixed / Multi-category
15,736
Politics & Elections
6,583
Entertainment & Culture
2,657
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,454
Companies & Business
1,125
Technology & AI
1,059
Economics & Inflation
952
World & Geopolitics
396
Monetary Policy
365
Climate & Weather
214
Science & Health
93

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 80%
Polymarket 20%
Kalshi 118,984 markets · $1.01B OI  ·  Polymarket 29,424 markets · $450.5M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 148,408.

Largest Kalshi Series

Sports — multi-game parlays
74,642
Cross-category multi-markets
15,736
Midterm control
948
Music — artist streams
757
U.S. House races
601
Nextteamnba
482
Nflwins
263
NFL — next team moves
257
Nextteammlb
238
Flprimary
203
Rt
166
Midtermvoteturn
163

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for July 31, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — July 31, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-07-31/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.