Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-07-27

Prediction Markets — 2026-07-27

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-07-27T00:05:03.459343+00:00

State of the System

On July 27, 2026, VolRoc recorded 93,953 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.16B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets fell 49.8% and open interest fell 28.0% (vs July 26, 2026). Politics & Elections was the largest domain by open interest (41%), ahead of Sports (25%); together they accounted for 66% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 59% of active markets and Polymarket 41%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-07-27

As of 2026-07-27 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
93,953
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.16B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
16,002
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
59% / 41%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Sports
47,282
Other
25,482
Politics & Elections
6,701
Mixed / Multi-category
4,887
Entertainment & Culture
2,703
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,720
Companies & Business
1,457
Technology & AI
1,196
Economics & Inflation
937
Climate & Weather
586
Monetary Policy
460
World & Geopolitics
457
Science & Health
85

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 59%
Polymarket 41%
Kalshi 55,683 markets · $689.2M OI  ·  Polymarket 38,270 markets · $474.5M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 93,953.

Largest Kalshi Series

Sports — multi-game parlays
24,985
Cross-category multi-markets
4,887
Midterm control
906
Music — artist streams
767
U.S. House races
599
Nextteamnba
462
NFL — next team moves
255
Nflwins
244
Nextteammlb
231
Flprimary
195
Rt
164
Mlbseasonhr
161

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for July 27, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — July 27, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-07-27/

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