Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-06-21

Prediction Markets — 2026-06-21

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-06-21T00:05:03.318425+00:00

State of the System

On June 21, 2026, VolRoc recorded 1,959 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $810.9M in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets fell 99.0% and open interest fell 65.4% (vs June 20, 2026). Sports was the largest domain by open interest (73%), ahead of Politics & Elections (24%); together they accounted for 97% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 6% of active markets and Polymarket 94%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-06-21

As of 2026-06-21 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
1,959
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$810.9M
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
1,233
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
6% / 94%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 10 domains

Politics & Elections
817
Other
357
Crypto & Digital Assets
285
Sports
190
Companies & Business
109
Technology & AI
88
World & Geopolitics
56
Entertainment & Culture
28
Monetary Policy
15
Economics & Inflation
12
Science & Health
2

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 6%
Polymarket 94%
Kalshi 125 markets · $880.8K OI  ·  Polymarket 1,834 markets · $810.0M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 1,959.

Largest Kalshi Series

Btcd
64
Sold
23
Ethd
21
Xrpd
13
KXETH15M
1
KXSOL15M
1
KXBTC15M
1
KXXRP15M
1

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for June 21, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — June 21, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-06-21/

Get the daily statistics

A short daily read on the prediction-market universe across Kalshi and Polymarket. Join the list →

About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.