Observatory/ Archive/ 2026-06-15

Prediction Markets — 2026-06-15

Frozen at 00:00 UTC · recorded 2026-06-15T00:05:01.970046+00:00

State of the System

On June 15, 2026, VolRoc recorded 118,887 active prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, holding $1.95B in combined open interest. Day over day, active markets fell 44.6% and open interest fell 7.6% (vs June 14, 2026). Sports was the largest domain by open interest (50%), ahead of Politics & Elections (20%); together they accounted for 69% of all open interest. Kalshi carried 93% of active markets and Polymarket 7%.
Deterministic · template v1 · 2026-06-15

As of 2026-06-15 · 00:00 UTC

Active Markets
118,887
00:00 UTC freeze
Open Interest
$1.95B
Kalshi OI + Polymarket liquidity
Markets Traded · 24h
14,521
with trading activity
Kalshi / Polymarket
93% / 7%
by active-market count

Domain Composition — 12 domains

Sports
79,029
Mixed / Multi-category
16,460
Other
12,498
Politics & Elections
5,589
Entertainment & Culture
2,144
Crypto & Digital Assets
1,050
Economics & Inflation
704
Companies & Business
422
Monetary Policy
394
Technology & AI
287
World & Geopolitics
153
Climate & Weather
87
Science & Health
70

Venue-agnostic subject taxonomy from Kalshi series prefixes and Polymarket title keywords. A residual Other bucket is reported honestly.

Venue Split

Kalshi 93%
Polymarket 7%
Kalshi 110,513 markets · $1.12B OI  ·  Polymarket 8,374 markets · $820.6M liquidity

Probability Distribution

0102030405060708090
Yes-price across both venues, 10 buckets from 0 to 100. n = 118,887.

Largest Kalshi Series

Sports — multi-game parlays
67,805
Cross-category multi-markets
16,460
Music — artist streams
854
Midterm control
741
U.S. House races
600
Wctotal
310
Wcstageofelim
265
NFL — next team moves
251
Wcteamtotal
250
Nextteamnba
245
California primaries
238
Pgatour
205

Kalshi market families (Polymarket is not series-structured).

About & Citation

This is the fixed-hour (00:00 UTC) state of every active market on Kalshi and Polymarket for June 15, 2026. The live Observatory shows the current diurnal value; this record is immutable. Open interest combines Kalshi open interest with Polymarket USD liquidity as comparable USD magnitudes. Sources: Kalshi, Polymarket.

How to cite

“VolRoc Prediction Market Archive — June 15, 2026.” https://volroc.ai/prediction-markets/2026-06-15/

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About VolRoc Methodology API Archive World Cup Frozen at 00:00 UTC. Immutable daily record.