{"object":"wc_daily_mark","field_ref":"world-cup-2026-winner","layer":"A","mutable":false,"citable":true,"binding_provenance":"informal_slug","canonical_date":"2026-06-10","as_of":"2026-06-10T00:05:09Z","source_uri":"s3://netmon-prod-991599642143-us-west-1-an/public/metrics/world-cup/archive/2026-06-10.json","source_sha256":"dad84d9af3c986b093a996e4d1f03177e534c4297857a7a6e5560e21c25aebb0","schema_version":1,"record_convention":"wc_daily_mark_v1","generated_at":"2026-06-10T00:05:09Z","event":{"name":"2026 FIFA World Cup","starts":"2026-06-11","ends":"2026-07-19","hosts":"United States, Canada & Mexico","teams":48,"matches":104},"overview":{"active_markets":2062,"by_venue":[{"venue":"kalshi","count":1779},{"venue":"polymarket","count":283}],"markets_traded_24h":{"kalshi":1287,"polymarket":234,"total":1521},"last_updated":"2026-06-09T23:00:00+00:00"},"open_interest":{"kalshi_contracts":122601768.96,"polymarket_usd_liquidity":371290064.75,"unit_note":"Kalshi open interest is in contracts; Polymarket figure is USD liquidity. Different units — shown separately, never summed."},"volume_24h":{"kalshi_contracts":15495214.43,"polymarket_usd":89629865.74,"unit_note":"Kalshi 24h volume is in contracts; Polymarket 24h volume is in USD. Shown separately, never summed."},"consensus":{"as_of":"2026-06-10T00:05:09Z","ranked_by":"higher of the two venue implied 'yes' prices","teams":[{"team":"Spain","slug":"spain","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.165,"oi_contracts":3805790.95,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1605,"volume_24h_usd":2256614.12},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.167,0.17,0.169,0.171,0.172,0.171,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.166,0.165,0.164,0.165,0.165],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.47,"oi_contracts":51009.24,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.3,"oi_contracts":29950.43,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.6,"oi_contracts":20753.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.78,"oi_contracts":6905.84,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.165,"oi_contracts":3805790.95,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"France","slug":"france","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.162,"oi_contracts":5469037.23,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1605,"volume_24h_usd":2209954.73},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.01},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.169,0.167,0.168,0.169,0.174,0.176,0.171,0.164,0.163,0.164,0.162,0.164,0.162,0.163],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.79,"oi_contracts":7652.11,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.43,"oi_contracts":38472.59,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.58,"oi_contracts":23577.71,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.27,"oi_contracts":42001.2,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.162,"oi_contracts":5469037.23,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"England","slug":"england","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.105,"oi_contracts":3843060.48,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1055,"volume_24h_usd":1832254.61},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.003,"polymarket":-0.004},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.006,"polymarket":-0.006},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.109,0.111,0.111,0.114,0.113,0.114,0.109,0.111,0.109,0.104,0.105,0.105,0.102,0.102],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.35,"oi_contracts":16321.97,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.21,"oi_contracts":37632.12,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.56,"oi_contracts":6587.75,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.75,"oi_contracts":9584.26,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.105,"oi_contracts":3843060.48,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Portugal","slug":"portugal","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.103,"oi_contracts":6928256.43,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1015,"volume_24h_usd":2166944.71},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.009,"polymarket":0.006},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.098,0.094,0.089,0.093,0.106,0.104,0.093,0.094,0.095,0.091,0.096,0.11,0.105,0.101],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.71,"oi_contracts":17232.84,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.18,"oi_contracts":69466.18,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":27338.23,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.51,"oi_contracts":91248.66,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.103,"oi_contracts":6928256.43,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Argentina","slug":"argentina","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.087,"oi_contracts":3167326.07,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0875,"volume_24h_usd":2076472.08},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.09,0.091,0.091,0.091,0.09,0.09,0.088,0.089,0.09,0.092,0.092,0.091,0.089,0.089],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.68,"oi_contracts":16879.23,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.18,"oi_contracts":33956.41,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.32,"oi_contracts":14696.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.53,"oi_contracts":49399.54,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.087,"oi_contracts":3167326.07,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Brazil","slug":"brazil","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.081,"oi_contracts":3335267.18,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0845,"volume_24h_usd":1551022.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.005,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.092,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.09,0.09,0.086,0.086,0.085,0.084,0.081,0.081,0.078,0.079],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.5,"oi_contracts":13535.57,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.18,"oi_contracts":8767.12,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":12816.79,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.71,"oi_contracts":6884.24,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.081,"oi_contracts":3335267.18,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Germany","slug":"germany","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.059,"oi_contracts":2543252.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0525,"volume_24h_usd":3092142.45},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":-0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.051,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.058,0.058,0.058,0.058,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.38,"oi_contracts":7814.9,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.7,"oi_contracts":5550.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.24,"oi_contracts":4392.01,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.13,"oi_contracts":8913.35,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.059,"oi_contracts":2543252.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Netherlands","slug":"netherlands","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.046,"oi_contracts":4352684.71,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0395,"volume_24h_usd":1113671.22},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.005,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.037,0.04,0.04,0.044,0.043,0.042,0.043,0.041,0.039,0.041,0.047,0.05,0.048,0.048],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.56,"oi_contracts":17111.12,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.39,"oi_contracts":57892.99,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":72067.67,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.2,"oi_contracts":17263.23,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.046,"oi_contracts":4352684.71,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Norway","slug":"norway","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.025,"oi_contracts":3154065.89,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0245,"volume_24h_usd":1059829.82},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.023,0.024,0.024,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.026,0.025,0.026,0.026,0.025,0.024],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":12046.39,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.55,"oi_contracts":13085.86,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.31,"oi_contracts":8033.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":13313.35,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.025,"oi_contracts":3154065.89,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Belgium","slug":"belgium","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.023,"oi_contracts":2964654.19,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0225,"volume_24h_usd":1341655.64},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.025,0.023,0.024,0.023,0.023,0.021,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.02,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.62,"oi_contracts":19630.52,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":17746.07,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":3871.33,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.35,"oi_contracts":32511.24,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.023,"oi_contracts":2964654.19,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Colombia","slug":"colombia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.021,"oi_contracts":2852360.52,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0195,"volume_24h_usd":1807335.2},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.018,0.018,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.02,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.53,"oi_contracts":39873.62,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.15,"oi_contracts":11833.69,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":57377.16,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.31,"oi_contracts":38178.44,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.021,"oi_contracts":2852360.52,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Japan","slug":"japan","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":3244068.8,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0185,"volume_24h_usd":1730921.07},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.003},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.016,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.014,0.013,0.014,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.016,0.017],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":35956.45,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":22494.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.4,"oi_contracts":22078.01,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.21,"oi_contracts":17162.06,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":3244068.8,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Morocco","slug":"morocco","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.015,"oi_contracts":3863378.03,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0175,"volume_24h_usd":1070516.2},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.015,0.016,0.013,0.012,0.014,0.015,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.016,0.014,0.015,0.016,0.016],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.42,"oi_contracts":20585.41,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":20236.26,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":14866.35,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.19,"oi_contracts":21701.42,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.015,"oi_contracts":3863378.03,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Mexico","slug":"mexico","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":7354319.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0125,"volume_24h_usd":2436074.92},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.013,0.013,0.014,0.014,0.013,0.014,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.014,0.019,0.02,0.021,0.017],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.56,"oi_contracts":75888.95,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.28,"oi_contracts":88313.53,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":53120.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.13,"oi_contracts":92587.56,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":7354319.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"USA","slug":"usa","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.015,"oi_contracts":5192979.47,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0115,"volume_24h_usd":1762654.74},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.014,0.015,0.015,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.014,0.015,0.014,0.016,0.017,0.016,0.016,0.017],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":37995.7,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":41959.99,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.48,"oi_contracts":73399.97,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.24,"oi_contracts":31594.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.015,"oi_contracts":5192979.47,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Türkiye","slug":"turkey","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.012,"oi_contracts":2837459.52,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0115,"volume_24h_usd":1998900.59},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.01,0.012,0.011,0.012,0.012,0.012],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.21,"oi_contracts":7201.04,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.47,"oi_contracts":28767.48,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":8698.04,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":5540.41,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.012,"oi_contracts":2837459.52,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Switzerland","slug":"switzerland","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.011,"oi_contracts":2134666.35,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0115,"volume_24h_usd":1691392.92},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.012,0.012,0.011,0.011,0.01,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":1168.09,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.24,"oi_contracts":1803.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":11126.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.6,"oi_contracts":11371.24,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.011,"oi_contracts":2134666.35,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Uruguay","slug":"uruguay","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2188941.16,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0105,"volume_24h_usd":2273273.71},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.011,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.011,0.01,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.39,"oi_contracts":8557.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":11756.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":2588.71,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":2148.45,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2188941.16,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Bosnia & Herzegovina","slug":"bosnia-herzegovina","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":187781.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":2815258.59},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1459.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1069.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":1688.08,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":12681.55,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":187781.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Iraq","slug":"iraq","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":105441.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":15610.0},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1349.36,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":4208.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":4398.18,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":105441.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Congo DR","slug":"congo-dr","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":20233.42,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1216038.84},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":4543.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":9072.58,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":5993.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":20233.42,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Czechia","slug":"czechia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":58703.1,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":4439999.25},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":316.55,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.3,"oi_contracts":1512.05,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":495.33,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":187.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":58703.1,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Croatia","slug":"croatia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2798242.57,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0095,"volume_24h_usd":1460271.99},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.39,"oi_contracts":9607.09,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":12237.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":12709.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.2,"oi_contracts":3570.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2798242.57,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ecuador","slug":"ecuador","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.009,"oi_contracts":3170365.85,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0085,"volume_24h_usd":2681387.66},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.17,"oi_contracts":40716.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.42,"oi_contracts":22142.93,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":7007.75,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":14763.49,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.009,"oi_contracts":3170365.85,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Senegal","slug":"senegal","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.008,"oi_contracts":1169181.85,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0065,"volume_24h_usd":3415852.12},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.007,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.33,"oi_contracts":13810.39,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":2469.9,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":3450.4,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":7244.93,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.008,"oi_contracts":1169181.85,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Austria","slug":"austria","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1370208.28,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0045,"volume_24h_usd":3386927.1},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.005,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.005,0.006,0.004,0.005,0.005],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.12,"oi_contracts":6212.86,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1008.01,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":1386.94,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.27,"oi_contracts":23022.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1370208.28,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ivory Coast","slug":"ivory-coast","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":2839512.62,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0045,"volume_24h_usd":1144771.73},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":3495.1,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":4149.16,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":2711.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.3,"oi_contracts":40634.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":2839512.62,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Canada","slug":"canada","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1843102.37,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0035,"volume_24h_usd":4178651.43},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":980.39,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":11266.18,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.46,"oi_contracts":22800.62,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":2642.75,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1843102.37,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Sweden","slug":"sweden","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1450089.28,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0035,"volume_24h_usd":3872645.0},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.006,0.005,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.005,0.005],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":814.72,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":267.2,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1000.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.23,"oi_contracts":12026.55,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1450089.28,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Paraguay","slug":"paraguay","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":753284.59,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":2986621.4},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":3495.75,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":1356.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":1644.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.32,"oi_contracts":15288.25,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":753284.59,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Scotland","slug":"scotland","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":911923.07,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":1154914.93},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":1184.14,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":334.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":1495.1,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":2450.81,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":911923.07,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"South Korea","slug":"south-korea","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":2298819.76,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":2629821.89},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":3040.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.06,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":14654.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":6137.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1409.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":2298819.76,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Egypt","slug":"egypt","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2128159.31,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":5616278.37},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":785.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.3,"oi_contracts":8971.38,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2128159.31,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Australia","slug":"australia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1692668.91,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":913568.01},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":582.46,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":3248.52,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":6817.09,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":2172.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1692668.91,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ghana","slug":"ghana","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2076184.02,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1469813.04},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":2520.23,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1596.59,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.13,"oi_contracts":24443.71,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2076184.02,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Iran","slug":"iran","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2268025.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1556077.15},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":4501.79,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":457.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.18,"oi_contracts":8344.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2268025.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Algeria","slug":"algeria","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1206808.6,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":3642499.1},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":672.25,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.13,"oi_contracts":2846.87,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.05,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":260.79,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.2,"oi_contracts":11517.78,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1206808.6,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Haiti","slug":"haiti","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":4110438.91,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":74486.45},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.001,0.001,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":7956.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":10241.8,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":16054.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2293.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":4110438.91,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"South Africa","slug":"south-africa","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":705780.35,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":1255450.89},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":110.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":281.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":8917.55,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":280.45,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":705780.35,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Panama","slug":"panama","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":465153.11,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":28420.0},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":4866.66,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":10769.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1540.63,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":11907.99,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":465153.11,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Saudi Arabia","slug":"saudi-arabia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":595699.37,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":98248.17},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":226.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":null,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":2485.9,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":804.43,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":595699.37,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Tunisia","slug":"tunisia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":530833.0,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":3557898.09},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":3259.7,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":4982.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":808.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":530833.0,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Uzbekistan","slug":"uzbekistan","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":1208881.73,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":1111121.97},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":271.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":2933.18,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":1208881.73,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Jordan","slug":"jordan","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":374207.8,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":54271.1},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":6124.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":7801.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1310.81,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":374207.8,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Cape Verde","slug":"cape-verde","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":307478.97,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":104020.38},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":7230.42,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":379.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":307478.97,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. 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Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. 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