{"object":"wc_daily_mark","field_ref":"world-cup-2026-winner","layer":"A","mutable":false,"citable":true,"binding_provenance":"informal_slug","canonical_date":"2026-06-09","as_of":"2026-06-09T00:05:07Z","source_uri":"s3://netmon-prod-991599642143-us-west-1-an/public/metrics/world-cup/archive/2026-06-09.json","source_sha256":"b50222003e15513cada7aee87f696b58512400cc9c689d97a24392f014ac7ccb","schema_version":1,"record_convention":"wc_daily_mark_v1","generated_at":"2026-06-09T00:05:07Z","event":{"name":"2026 FIFA World Cup","starts":"2026-06-11","ends":"2026-07-19","hosts":"United States, Canada & Mexico","teams":48,"matches":104},"overview":{"active_markets":1893,"by_venue":[{"venue":"kalshi","count":1633},{"venue":"polymarket","count":260}],"markets_traded_24h":{"kalshi":1111,"polymarket":217,"total":1328},"last_updated":"2026-06-08T23:00:00+00:00"},"open_interest":{"kalshi_contracts":107776774.14,"polymarket_usd_liquidity":353736230.63,"unit_note":"Kalshi open interest is in contracts; Polymarket figure is USD liquidity. Different units — shown separately, never summed."},"volume_24h":{"kalshi_contracts":9022868.38,"polymarket_usd":60817373.63,"unit_note":"Kalshi 24h volume is in contracts; Polymarket 24h volume is in USD. Shown separately, never summed."},"consensus":{"as_of":"2026-06-09T00:05:07Z","ranked_by":"higher of the two venue implied 'yes' prices","teams":[{"team":"Spain","slug":"spain","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.165,"oi_contracts":3363440.58,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1595,"volume_24h_usd":974895.27},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.008},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.162,0.167,0.17,0.169,0.171,0.172,0.171,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.166,0.165,0.164,0.165],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.46,"oi_contracts":43543.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":26091.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.6,"oi_contracts":18698.53,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.79,"oi_contracts":5451.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.165,"oi_contracts":3363440.58,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"France","slug":"france","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.163,"oi_contracts":4929520.26,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1615,"volume_24h_usd":1158800.07},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.008,"polymarket":-0.009},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.172,0.169,0.167,0.168,0.169,0.174,0.176,0.171,0.164,0.163,0.164,0.162,0.164,0.162],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.79,"oi_contracts":6938.23,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.42,"oi_contracts":37191.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.58,"oi_contracts":20909.05,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.27,"oi_contracts":37348.89,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.163,"oi_contracts":4929520.26,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"England","slug":"england","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.102,"oi_contracts":3640833.53,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.1095,"volume_24h_usd":884771.04},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.007,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.111,0.109,0.111,0.111,0.114,0.113,0.114,0.109,0.111,0.109,0.104,0.105,0.105,0.102],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.35,"oi_contracts":15747.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":23959.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.56,"oi_contracts":4795.72,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.75,"oi_contracts":9321.66,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.102,"oi_contracts":3640833.53,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Portugal","slug":"portugal","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.101,"oi_contracts":6328335.06,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0985,"volume_24h_usd":1399074.79},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.004,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.008,"polymarket":0.005},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.098,0.098,0.094,0.089,0.093,0.106,0.104,0.093,0.094,0.095,0.091,0.096,0.11,0.105],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.72,"oi_contracts":16542.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.17,"oi_contracts":58618.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":20123.73,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.51,"oi_contracts":79429.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.101,"oi_contracts":6328335.06,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Argentina","slug":"argentina","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.089,"oi_contracts":2840721.34,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0845,"volume_24h_usd":1394990.88},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.004},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":-0.005},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.091,0.09,0.091,0.091,0.091,0.09,0.09,0.088,0.089,0.09,0.092,0.092,0.091,0.089],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.69,"oi_contracts":13376.56,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.19,"oi_contracts":32582.28,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.33,"oi_contracts":9824.43,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.53,"oi_contracts":42853.61,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.089,"oi_contracts":2840721.34,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Brazil","slug":"brazil","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.079,"oi_contracts":2966291.3,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0835,"volume_24h_usd":1053943.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.007,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.095,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.09,0.09,0.086,0.086,0.085,0.084,0.081,0.081,0.078],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.51,"oi_contracts":12550.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.17,"oi_contracts":7933.32,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":12132.4,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.71,"oi_contracts":6438.94,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.079,"oi_contracts":2966291.3,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Germany","slug":"germany","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":2431281.95,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0535,"volume_24h_usd":1074828.81},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":-0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.051,0.051,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.056,0.058,0.058,0.058,0.058,0.06,0.06,0.06],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.38,"oi_contracts":6706.14,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.68,"oi_contracts":5083.74,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.23,"oi_contracts":4305.58,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.13,"oi_contracts":8532.51,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":2431281.95,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Netherlands","slug":"netherlands","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.048,"oi_contracts":3979087.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0395,"volume_24h_usd":1503055.87},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.005,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.036,0.037,0.04,0.04,0.044,0.043,0.042,0.043,0.041,0.039,0.041,0.047,0.05,0.048],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.57,"oi_contracts":11422.6,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.4,"oi_contracts":55124.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":68297.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.2,"oi_contracts":15247.33,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.048,"oi_contracts":3979087.7,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Norway","slug":"norway","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.024,"oi_contracts":2876474.13,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0255,"volume_24h_usd":1069977.62},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.023,0.023,0.024,0.024,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.026,0.025,0.026,0.026,0.025],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":11548.98,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.55,"oi_contracts":13394.09,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.34,"oi_contracts":7598.99,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.06,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.15,"oi_contracts":13176.38,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.024,"oi_contracts":2876474.13,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Belgium","slug":"belgium","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.023,"oi_contracts":2807296.67,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0225,"volume_24h_usd":3266901.09},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.021,0.025,0.023,0.024,0.023,0.023,0.021,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.02,0.023,0.023,0.023],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.62,"oi_contracts":17826.39,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":8791.63,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":3634.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.37,"oi_contracts":19704.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.023,"oi_contracts":2807296.67,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Japan","slug":"japan","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":2835842.04,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0215,"volume_24h_usd":1446753.78},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.003,"polymarket":0.004},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.015,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.014,0.013,0.014,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.016],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":33485.43,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":19086.01,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.4,"oi_contracts":19395.29,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.2,"oi_contracts":16529.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":2835842.04,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Morocco","slug":"morocco","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.016,"oi_contracts":3586528.46,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0195,"volume_24h_usd":1521784.81},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.003},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.004},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.015,0.015,0.016,0.013,0.012,0.014,0.015,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.016,0.014,0.015,0.016],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.43,"oi_contracts":12976.87,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":19705.16,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":12764.8,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.21,"oi_contracts":11051.05,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.016,"oi_contracts":3586528.46,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Colombia","slug":"colombia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.019,"oi_contracts":2623200.48,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0195,"volume_24h_usd":3005791.13},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.018,0.018,0.018,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.02,0.019,0.019,0.02,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.53,"oi_contracts":25471.16,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.15,"oi_contracts":9423.89,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":57036.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.31,"oi_contracts":25088.52,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.019,"oi_contracts":2623200.48,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"USA","slug":"usa","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":4460948.49,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0115,"volume_24h_usd":1655121.75},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.003,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.013,0.014,0.015,0.015,0.016,0.016,0.015,0.014,0.015,0.014,0.016,0.017,0.016,0.016],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":37778.6,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":40351.4,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.48,"oi_contracts":57797.05,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":30158.04,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":4460948.49,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Mexico","slug":"mexico","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":5703854.96,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0145,"volume_24h_usd":1991342.1},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.004,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.004,"polymarket":0.004},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.013,0.013,0.013,0.014,0.014,0.013,0.014,0.013,0.013,0.013,0.014,0.019,0.02,0.021],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.57,"oi_contracts":59151.84,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.27,"oi_contracts":50617.88,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":48254.71,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.12,"oi_contracts":65695.41,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.017,"oi_contracts":5703854.96,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Türkiye","slug":"turkey","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.012,"oi_contracts":2696524.32,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0125,"volume_24h_usd":1388507.62},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.005,"polymarket":0.004},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.007,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.01,0.012,0.011,0.012,0.012],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":6803.52,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.46,"oi_contracts":8145.1,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":7100.77,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":5506.41,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.012,"oi_contracts":2696524.32,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Switzerland","slug":"switzerland","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.011,"oi_contracts":2094516.19,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0105,"volume_24h_usd":2325252.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.012,0.012,0.011,0.011,0.01,0.011,0.011,0.011],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":1063.64,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.05,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.27,"oi_contracts":1416.54,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":10920.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.57,"oi_contracts":6988.56,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.011,"oi_contracts":2094516.19,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Uruguay","slug":"uruguay","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1803299.41,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0105,"volume_24h_usd":3118966.91},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.002,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.012,0.011,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.011,0.01,0.011,0.011,0.011],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.39,"oi_contracts":8309.08,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":11756.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":2483.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":2045.62,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1803299.41,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Bosnia & Herzegovina","slug":"bosnia-herzegovina","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":183316.45,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1792391.23},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1378.64,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1069.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":1674.67,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":7431.9,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":183316.45,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Iraq","slug":"iraq","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":73645.74,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":666451.36},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1349.36,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":3740.17,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":4281.06,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":73645.74,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Czechia","slug":"czechia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":53250.26,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":999234.09},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":316.55,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.31,"oi_contracts":1204.42,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":478.33,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":187.02,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":53250.26,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Congo DR","slug":"congo-dr","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":20233.42,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":894883.08},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":4422.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":1417.08,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":5993.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":20233.42,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Croatia","slug":"croatia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2741899.27,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0095,"volume_24h_usd":1334170.14},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.01],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.4,"oi_contracts":9169.58,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":12237.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":12709.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.19,"oi_contracts":3290.6,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":2741899.27,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ecuador","slug":"ecuador","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.009,"oi_contracts":2825987.36,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0085,"volume_24h_usd":1326404.84},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.002,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.17,"oi_contracts":37933.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.41,"oi_contracts":12017.37,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":6956.54,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":10829.9,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.009,"oi_contracts":2825987.36,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Senegal","slug":"senegal","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.008,"oi_contracts":1118684.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0065,"volume_24h_usd":556819.71},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.008,0.007,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.007,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008,0.008],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.34,"oi_contracts":13440.4,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1611.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":2454.26,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":6776.19,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.008,"oi_contracts":1118684.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Austria","slug":"austria","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1338916.44,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0045,"volume_24h_usd":1586706.96},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.005,0.005,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.005,0.006,0.004,0.005],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":6209.86,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":954.01,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":1386.94,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.28,"oi_contracts":12273.31,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1338916.44,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Sweden","slug":"sweden","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1412078.65,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0045,"volume_24h_usd":1370278.78},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":-0.001,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.006,0.006,0.005,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.005],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":777.72,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":267.2,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1000.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":6662.59,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.005,"oi_contracts":1412078.65,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ivory Coast","slug":"ivory-coast","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":2635109.64,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0045,"volume_24h_usd":697835.13},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.002},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":3361.29,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.14,"oi_contracts":3810.34,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.04,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":2211.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.3,"oi_contracts":14438.16,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":2635109.64,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Canada","slug":"canada","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1739715.84,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0035,"volume_24h_usd":1367454.44},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":952.39,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":11032.68,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.43,"oi_contracts":15488.43,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":2272.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.004,"oi_contracts":1739715.84,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"South Korea","slug":"south-korea","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":2023223.31,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0035,"volume_24h_usd":1411358.85},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":2990.4,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.05,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":14623.53,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":4267.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1394.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":2023223.31,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Paraguay","slug":"paraguay","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":683971.13,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":949010.18},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":3449.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1297.35,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":1644.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.29,"oi_contracts":1509.83,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":683971.13,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Scotland","slug":"scotland","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":873742.53,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":1005405.14},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":1184.14,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":334.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":null,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.11,"oi_contracts":1397.67,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.25,"oi_contracts":2236.81,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":873742.53,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Egypt","slug":"egypt","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":1736954.54,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0025,"volume_24h_usd":2025150.6},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.002,0.003],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":758.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.31,"oi_contracts":5193.64,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.003,"oi_contracts":1736954.54,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Iran","slug":"iran","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1882696.67,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1390301.74},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":4189.04,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":613.98,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":8164.97,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1882696.67,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Algeria","slug":"algeria","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1149811.41,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1414572.57},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":672.25,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":2676.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":260.79,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.22,"oi_contracts":6480.33,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.02,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1149811.41,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Australia","slug":"australia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1684047.81,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":549928.68},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.05,"oi_contracts":582.46,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.06,"oi_contracts":3248.52,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":6817.09,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":986.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":1684047.81,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Ghana","slug":"ghana","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2031927.3,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0015,"volume_24h_usd":1478099.88},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":-0.001},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":2438.28,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.03,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1445.22,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.16,"oi_contracts":3089.59,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":-0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":2031927.3,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Haiti","slug":"haiti","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":3031271.21,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":60138.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.001,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.002,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":7956.96,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":9966.47,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":13740.75,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":1647.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.002,"oi_contracts":3031271.21,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Cape Verde","slug":"cape-verde","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":297128.97,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":244238.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.07,"oi_contracts":1451.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":379.13,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":297128.97,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Saudi Arabia","slug":"saudi-arabia","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":546608.17,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":1774534.97},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":2170.45,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":336.53,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":546608.17,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"South Africa","slug":"south-africa","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":670241.05,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":1218718.86},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":110.5,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":281.03,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.1,"oi_contracts":8650.64,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":280.45,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":670241.05,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Panama","slug":"panama","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":463386.71,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":579331.32},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.04,"oi_contracts":4839.84,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":10769.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1540.63,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.08,"oi_contracts":3125.08,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":463386.71,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Jordan","slug":"jordan","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":346101.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":586811.41},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":5621.44,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":7801.0,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1310.81,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":346101.5,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"New Zealand","slug":"new-zealand","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":658688.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":105169.75},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.03,"oi_contracts":1280.92,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.09,"oi_contracts":1197.8,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.01,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":501.59,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"sf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":1489.8,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":658688.15,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. A missing stage means no market, not zero."}},{"team":"Curaçao","slug":"curacao","kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":223071.55,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"},"polymarket":{"yes_price":0.0005,"volume_24h_usd":619795.8},"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_7d":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":0.0},"delta_30d":null,"spark":{"kalshi":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001],"polymarket":[]},"advancement":{"as_of_stage_set":["r16","qf","sf","final","win"],"stages":{"r16":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":12134.85,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"final":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.01,"oi_contracts":7894.51,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"qf":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.02,"oi_contracts":166.18,"ticker":"KXWCROUND"},"movement":{"delta_24h":{"kalshi":0.0,"polymarket":null},"delta_7d":null,"has_24h":true,"has_7d":false}},"win":{"kalshi":{"yes_price":0.001,"oi_contracts":223071.55,"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP"}}},"note":"Implied probability of reaching each stage, per venue. Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. 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Source: Kalshi 'qualify for' reach markets (KXWCROUND); 'win' is the team's tournament-winner market. Independent markets, displayed as priced — no smoothing, no derived conditionals. 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