{
  "object": "field_mark",
  "field_ref": "tesla-q2-2026-deliveries",
  "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
  "node_ref": "tesla",
  "title": "Tesla Q2 2026 Deliveries",
  "leg_structure": "Ladder",
  "layer": "A",
  "mutable": false,
  "citable": true,
  "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
  "canonical_date": "2026-06-26",
  "canonical_hour_utc": "00:00",
  "source_uri": "s3://netmon-prod-991599642143-us-west-1-an/public/metrics/fields/tesla-q2-2026-deliveries/archive/2026-06-26.json",
  "sha256": "08aa231f503f87f073ad3a84b9aeb74470904986be288714ed289ec8457b584e",
  "schema_version": "1",
  "methodology_version": "opc_ladder_v1",
  "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
  "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
  "resolution": "Tesla Q2 2026 total vehicle deliveries vs threshold, per Tesla's quarterly delivery report",
  "venue": {
    "name": "kalshi",
    "kalshi_series": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV",
    "capital_unit": "open_interest_contracts"
  },
  "created_time": "2026-04-09T00:12:50.529598Z",
  "strike_count": 17,
  "strikes": [
    {
      "threshold": "Above 480000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 480000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.18,
      "oi_contracts": 105.07,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 105,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-480000",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "5cbf15fe629184d5f5a198ae3ded0b0c456436acfaa90a43e5d4393d65133f3d"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 470000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 470000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.22,
      "oi_contracts": 659.65,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 659,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-470000",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "c0ef942902763c34fa4636165843bee3c79cfcbfdb576d08b6364605eb6bc216"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 460000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 460000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.36,
      "oi_contracts": 33587.39,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 33587,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-460000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "c84e0390e9dbf1d24e68c6a1e428b98092c519ecf3dc394eef1b71f2a4bbcb87"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 450000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 450000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.49,
      "oi_contracts": 41736.33,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 41736,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-450000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "ee7335250f7ddb0bcd2e52e6b9c80e7daaf60de0424a5828d5f59ca383635954"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 440000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 440000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.57,
      "oi_contracts": 30279.72,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 30279,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-440000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "3ed8f00e982c5014ab2207c245f310e5dd141ee0a8c3afb6d1fb3d6c8b35750f"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 430000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 430000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.62,
      "oi_contracts": 15482.43,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 15482,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-430000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "49e7948f10d637967fb6961f3bfcb980182ee66b1ff73a23548195003493e09a"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 420000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 420000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.71,
      "oi_contracts": 3979.36,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 3979,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-420000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "6f6049a030fe2c52de3d46ce29b47bf9599e4ef9ebdc41753a5f3eac6c74ae90"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 410000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 410000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.79,
      "oi_contracts": 3639.26,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 3639,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-410000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "f53b7bff83fd034d94ebd93561ac30148d834f686a8b6083e60832dcd5e01ebf"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 400000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 400000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.91,
      "oi_contracts": 2421.09,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 2421,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-400000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "731a3c4b2bce4da9da6cf4faab12dfd6d416e67844fe4190b41ae4d8d33f12da"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 390000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 390000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.93,
      "oi_contracts": 2254.31,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 2254,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-390000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "7ec8f42526c0cc8040f348dc0db7d5a374f17e3f5971ad981be9b2026debeb25"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 370000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 370000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.95,
      "oi_contracts": 732.27,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 732,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-370000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "2773de699cd114896fab805b8f8af4166f2c36ca5d61dccf86c56d6d9ae75b52"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 310000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 310000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.96,
      "oi_contracts": 1101.31,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 1101,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-310000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "a33d2f064ca2aba4e49c0b03c0d9bb62e2f5b3e9f56ebbb104517f7f59bab39f"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 360000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 360000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.96,
      "oi_contracts": 1519.32,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 1519,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-360000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "a2c03040a5b6a9807c96694e4430af64746f46964b2f18f0877a219d477f8450"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 380000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 380000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.97,
      "oi_contracts": 4059.33,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 4059,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-380000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "ec70bdd7061f887b867edb9886db7e339e6424b498dbe024e33f0a5f7c83fcc8"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 350000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 350000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.98,
      "oi_contracts": 1491.2,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 1491,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-350000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "451ce8b7d505eb5599fdc0d564ec71360d9ea628550224908bdf701d9bcf7508"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "above 320000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 320000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.99,
      "oi_contracts": 460.79,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 460,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-320000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "f3ae0db77595cf078c50f3f9412a5891b115c33a195babecec6ec7dbb90db6c9"
      }
    },
    {
      "threshold": "Above 340000",
      "rules_primary": "If Tesla Inc. reports above 340000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
      "yes_price": 0.99,
      "oi_contracts": 141.21,
      "status": "active",
      "opc_usd": 141,
      "binding": {
        "canonical_field_id": "field:be3f5842c4433aa2bd335e41745e9ca3",
        "venue": "kalshi",
        "venue_market_id": "KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-340000.0",
        "as_of": "2026-06-26T00:00:00Z",
        "field_registry_version": "fields-v1",
        "entity_registry_version": "phase0-growth-2026-06-01",
        "binding_sha256": "ffa76283be3ab077bc165d680a7044c6c298cae3f96ce4a5ea55d0218e238e5e"
      }
    }
  ],
  "event_total": null,
  "event_total_suppressed_reason": "Ladder: no naive total",
  "self": "/api/public/fields/tesla-q2-2026-deliveries/marks/2026-06-26",
  "archive": "/api/public/fields/tesla-q2-2026-deliveries/archive"
}